A key question is how the Bradley-Terry ratings compare with the duel success rate, and we shall see there are some surprising differences in how certain players are evaluated.īut first, let’s look at some general features of duels and how they fit into the wider picture. Here I use the ’Bradley-Terry‘ model to explicitly model opponent ability. Percentage success rates will therefore underestimate the ability of the dangerous attackers and overestimate the ability of the less dangerous ones. For one thing, managers often assign their best defenders to mark the most dangerous attackers, so that dangerous attackers face stronger opposition than their less dangerous counterparts. But we cannot assume that players are randomly paired in practice. For large numbers of encounters between randomly selected opponents, opponent ability averages out. This is reasonable, but it does not take opponents’ abilities into account. I will keep ground and aerial duels separate these are statistically two different kinds of skill, and a player who ranks highly on does not necessarily rank highly on the other.ġv1 abilities are traditionally assessed on a simple percentage basis a player’s duel success rate is:ĭuel success rate = Number of duels won / total number of duels In this post I discuss the evaluation of player 1v1 abilities within this framework. Opta also includes fouls within the duel category, and accordingly I include them as well. Frequently it is the attacker that has possession, rather than the defender however, in this article I want to rank attackers and defenders on the same scale, so I will not distinguish between the two sides of the duel, the only variable of interest is who wins it. Ground duels are asymmetrical events, because one player has possession and the other is trying to regain it. Aerial duels occur when two players contest a ball in the air this is a symmetrical event because neither player starts with possession. Opta recognises several types of 1v1 event, collectively known as duels. Send us feedback.The Liverpool defender and legendary hard man Tommy Smith is supposed to have said: “The ball may pass, the man may pass but never the two together.” Football has become less bloodthirsty since Smith last played for Liverpool in 1978, but performance in 1v1 contests remains a key element of the game. These example sentences are selected automatically from various online news sources to reflect current usage of the word 'outduel.' Views expressed in the examples do not represent the opinion of Merriam-Webster or its editors. 2021 Ahlstrom pitched seven scoreless innings, striking out a career-high 10 while allowing just three hits, to outduel Oregon State ace Kevin Abel for his first win of the season. Joe Freeman, oregonlive, But to outduel the Western Conference’s second-best team on a night Curry shot just 7-for-22 from the field (1-for-11 from 3-point range), the Warriors needed more than a memorable performance from Wiggins.Ĭonnor Letourneau, San Francisco Chronicle, Brady Singer pitched seven impressive innings to outduel Matthew Boyd, and Kansas City beat Detroit, 2-1, in the fastest nine-inning game this season at 2 hours, 10 minutes.ī, 24 Apr. 2021 Jack Bunnell struck out 11 to outduel Lucas Welch, who struck out eight.Įric Sondheimer Columnist, Los Angeles Times, Brendan Beck pitched a complete game shutout to outduel Kevin Abel and lead the Stanford Cardinal to a 1-0 victory over the Beavers in a matchup that lasted just one hour, 53 minutes at Sunken Diamond. 2021 Adam Wainwright pitches long enough to outduel Max Scherzer, who gives up a key home run, and the 106-game winners go home without making it to the division series. 2022 Try to outduel Kyler Murray and the prolific Cardinals offense without ‘em.
Recent Examples on the Web In spite of being undersized against the Boilermakers, the Peacocks used aggressiveness and hustle to outduel their seemingly superior opponent behind 6-8 freshman Clarence Rubert and 6-7 junior Hassan Drame.
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